A new extensive Harvard Institute of Politics poll shows a stunning reversal from millennial voters since 2010, with a majority now saying they prefer the GOP to be in charge (51/47). The survey of over 2,000 18-29-year-olds shows a 16-point swing from 2010, when they favored Democrats by twelve (55/43).
Via the Washington Examiner:
A new and massive poll of 2,029 18-29-year-olds from Harvard’s Institute of Politics just released found that of those who say they will “definitely be voting,” 51 percent want the GOP in charge, 47 percent favoring Democratic control.
Because the numbers are close, however, Harvard said the kid vote is “up for grabs.”
Still, it is a huge shift from the last IOP midterm poll. In 2010, younger voters kept to their historic trend with 55 percent favoring Democrats, 43 percent Republicans. That is an eight-point change, very good news for the Republicans who had feared that the Obama generation would show up at the polls and in knee-jerk fashion simply pull the Democratic levers.
In more unwelcome news for Democrats, the poll found that the Hispanic vote appears to be slipping too:
Even worse for Democrats: Hispanic support has dropped off. While Obama beat Mitt Romney by 51 points among the group in 2012, their approval of Obama now just ekes out disapproval by a 49-46 percent margin. Obama had an 81 approval rating in 2009.
