Despite Vegas and Media Narrative, Mass Killings Aren’t on the Rise

“The data doesn’t lie.”

According to research from University of Illinois Professors Sheldon Jacobson and Douglas King, mass killings aren’t on the rise like the mainstream media and its Democratic friends would like us to believe.

Over the last ten years (2006-2016), the rate of mass killings has remained completely steady and their occurrence is random and impossible to predict. The professors said their hope is that this study could “give people some clarity” so “they can look at [an] event in proper context.”

“When you see a mass killing on the news, it captures your attention,” King said. “You hear about these events more, and start to wonder, does this indicate that mass killings are escalating in frequency? The data shows that even though we’re more aware of mass-killing events, the rate that they’ve happened overall has remained steady.”

This was their method:

The researchers used publicly available data about incidents in the United States in which four or more people were killed, totaling 323 events from Jan. 1, 2006 to Oct. 4, 2016 – the latest available data when the study was written. Jacobson and King looked at the data set as a whole  and also divided it into groups by method and by type of event – for example, public killings versus family killings.

They found that the events, both collectively and in each subgroup, were distributed uniformly over time – meaning that the rate at which they happened remained steady throughout the decade, without any significant bunching in a certain season or year.

They also looked at the interval between events in each subgroup, searching for any patterns or correlations, and found that the timing was memoryless.

“Being memoryless means that the amount of time since the last event doesn’t have any impact on the amount of time until the next event,” explained King. “If you’re waiting for a bus, the more time you wait, the closer you are to the next bus coming. But with each subgroup of mass-killing events, the time since the last event gives you no insight at all into when the next event will happen. If it has been a longer time since the last event, it does not mean we are ‘due’ for another.”

In other words, mass shootings won’t inspire “copycats” like countless anchors speculate sitting at their nightly news desks. And while the media spreads fear over “increasing” public mass shootings, especially in the wake of Las Vegas, the data indicates that family mass killings are over three times more likely to occur than a public killing, the professors said.

So, what’s the solution?

After scouring the data, the professors don’t believe that stationing guards at public schools or other public spaces is an effective use of tax dollars given the random nature of mass killings. Instead, they suggest each community have a response plan in place for when these events occur and to deploy the designated responders. Lastly, King and Jacobson suggest “mass education on how to deal with these situations” in order to minimize “the impact of mass-killing events.”

To minimize the mind-numbing effect of the agenda-driven news media, simply turn off the device on which they appear. 

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